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Oct 5
Friday Look: Ron Paul

Recent reports that Ron Paul raised $5 million dollars earns him a look in this week's Friday Look.

Consider this: Ron Paul has more money on hand than one-time front runner John McCain, and more money on hand than the other lower tier Republican candidates combined. This means that Paul could theoretically make an effective ad buy in one or two of the early primary states and make a surprise showing. One could see Paul's libertarian anti-war message resonating in "Live Free or Die" New Hampshire, and his isolationist anti-immigrant message resonating in Iowa.

Who is Ron Paul? 

The one-time 1988 Libertarian Nominee for President and 10-term Texas Congressman, Ron Paul is the quintessential anti-establishment candidate. In 1976, he endorsed Ronald Reagan against incumbent President Gerald Ford. He stands on principle, and John McCain once called him the "most honest man in Congress." He speaks a Libertarian Populism that has a romantic appeal to it.

ron%20paul%20elephant.phpHe has forged himself an interesting set of issues stances. He has solid anti-war credentials and was one of the only Republican votes against the Iraq War authorization. He's an isolationist who criticizes U.S. membership in international organizations. He's a Constitutionalist, championing the right to life and the right to bear arms. He is a strong advocate of lower taxes, but a critic of free trade. He is vocally against illegal immigration calling "our own front door [is] unlocked." And while he doesn't talk the "social conservative talk", he walks their walk with a pro-family image with only one wife and a large, supportive family.

Ultimately his message may most strongly resonate in Middle America in areas like Kansas and the Midwest where Conservative Populism has its roots. And perhaps that is where his money is coming from.

But what is the end result of Ron Paul's candidacy? Traditionally candidates who run issue campaigns in primaries want to affect some kind of change in their party's platform. But Paul's central message is opposition to the Iraq war and isolationism, and that's not an issue that is likely to change on the Republican platform.

Paul's burgeoning candidacy shows that anti-war sentiment has crossed Party lines. His money nipping at the heels of the front runners means that there is a libertarian, pro-life, anti-war segment of the party who have thrown their support to Paul. Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney have questions about their stances on when life begins and gun owner's rights in the past. And despite being Washington outsiders, all the front runners have strong ties to the Republican establishment.

Although he doesn't crack into the top 5 in national and state polls, $5 million buys a lot of ads. By the time the primaries are over, Paul will have aired more ads than John McCain. He will be able to buy the name identification and get his message out in the early primary states. 

And because he doesn't crack into the top 5 in national and state polls, his expectations are extremely low. A third place finish, ahead of one of the front runners, in one of the early states would raise eyebrows.

Don't count Congressman Ron Paul out yet. 

JX


10 Comments/Trackbacks




Dr. Paul is NOT an isolationist. Dr. Paul is non-interventionalist and a supporter of free trade. His supporters appreciate the coverage, but please revise the mis-information in your article.

Paul criticizes free trade agreements like NAFTA and CAFTA, which makes him anti-free trade in my opinion. I agree he's a non-interventionist, but he also wants to withdraw from NATO and the UN which makes him an isolationist.

You can spin it all you want, but that's reality of those stances.

Overall good article. Just replace "isolationist" with "non-interventionism"

His motto is:

"Peace, commerce and honest friendship with all nations; entangling alliances with none."

And as far as I know, even some FoxNews Republicans want to get out of the UN (though for different reasons, they don't support the war, hah!)

Again with the isolationism. I appreciate the coverage, but you people actually research anything before you write an article. Here's an idea.. since you're already on the internet, google "non-interventionism".

NAFTA & CAFTA are not free trade agreements. They are "managed trade agreements" and that's why he is critical of them. They are not free enough. Anyone who knows anything about economics would realize that Paul is the only candidate who supports true free trade.

Was George Washington an isolationist too then? Washington's words from his Farewell Address sound exactly like what Paul advocates:

".......Observe good faith and justice toward all nations. Cultivate peace and harmony with all......

........In the execution of such a plan nothing is more essential than that permanent, inveterate antipathies against particular nations and passionate attachments for others should be excluded, and that in place of them just and amicable feelings toward all should be cultivated.........

........The great rule of conduct for us in regard to foreign nations is, in extending our commercial relations to have with them as little political connection as possible..........

..........Why quit our own to stand upon foreign ground? Why, by interweaving our destiny with that of any part of Europe, entangle our peace and prosperity in the toils of European ambition, rivalship, interest, humor, or caprice?.........

.........It is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliances with any portion of the foreign world.........

.......Taking care always to keep ourselves by suitable establishments on a respectable defensive posture, we may safely trust to temporary alliances for extraordinary emergencies.......

.......Observe good faith and justice toward all nations. Cultivate peace and harmony with all. Religion and morality enjoin this conduct. And can it be that good policy does not equally enjoin it?..........

...........In the execution of such a plan nothing is more essential than that permanent, inveterate antipathies against particular nations and passionate attachments for others should be excluded, and that in place of them just and amicable feelings toward all should be cultivated..........

......The great rule of conduct for us in regard to foreign nations is, in extending our commercial relations to have with them as little political connection as possible..........

.........Why quit our own to stand upon foreign ground? Why, by interweaving our destiny with that of any part of Europe, entangle our peace and prosperity in the toils of European ambition, rivalship, interest, humor, or caprice?..........

..........It is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliances with any portion of the foreign world..........

.......Taking care always to keep ourselves by suitable establishments on a respectable defensive posture, we may safely trust to temporary alliances for extraordinary emergencies............

.......Harmony, liberal intercourse with all nations are recommended by policy, humanity, and interest. But even our commercial policy should hold an equal and impartial hand, neither seeking nor granting exclusive favors or preferences........."

1. He's not an isolationist
2. He doesn't oppose free trade, he opposes managed trade
3. Ron Paul is not a populist, nor a "libertarian populist"
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1. He's not an isolationist. He believes in diplomacy, completely free trade and non-intervention in the internal affairs of other nations. Any definition of isolationism would have to include protectionism, which is certainly not the case with Dr. Paul.
2. He doesn't oppose free trade, he opposes managed trade. Addressed in 1.
3. Ron Paul is not a populist, nor a "libertarian populist." A populist would tailor his message to be everything to every person (like John Edwards.) He is the opposite or a populist. He sticks to strict constitutionalism, which is a philosophy that precludes populism.
4. He's not anti-war, he's anti - unjust wars. He is against nation building and world policing. But he was gung ho in favor of going into Afghanistan, where our attackers actually were. Of course, what Bush has done in Afghanistan is no longer what we went there for. And Iraq is even further off the point.

5. He's not anti-immigration, he's anti - ILLEGAL immigration. In fact, he is careful to point out that his policies will cause such a robust economy that we will need more workers, including immigrants.

Your op-ed is good. But some of your terms and thoughts are a bit less than orderly.

Thanks for the article, A.K. Smith

Given the number of errors and misrepresentations, I'm quite proud of the people who commented and posted them politely.

As stated above, writers would do well to either contact the campaign, read the campaign literature and draw original conclusions, than presenting previously mis-reported information about the man.

Thanks for the article, and with thousands of Paul supporters campaigning as volunteers nationwide, I think he is going to surprise a lot of people.

My concern with Ron Paul is his "non-interventionist" or "isolationist" views. The way it is stated on his website is "Both Jefferson and Washington warned us about entangling ourselves in the affairs of other nations."

Now, I think Washington was our best president. But he lived in a different world climate. We were a very small country with few financial and military resources. Washington, in particular, wanted the U.S. to develop our own resources so that we could be independent. Today we are the dominant economy and military in the world. The world is inter-dependent--the old "it's a small world" statement is very true.

World War II showed us that the position of no entangling alliances is no longer viable. Had the boasts of Hussein been true or even the current designs of Ahmadinejad come to be true, the Ron Paul approach would be terribly dangerous.

Joel, Hussein boasted that he had ended his WMD programs and the UN inspectors did not reveal otherwise. Bush rushed in so he could claim uncertainty afterwards with regard to Hussein possessing WMD.

We didn't intervene in World War II. We were attacked by Japan and then the German ambassador delivered a declaration of war to our state department.

And Ahmadinejad? Why would you consider this man a threat to us? He certainly despises Israel, but he knows well that they have enough nukes that attacking them would be mutually assured destruction.

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