
Recent reports that Ron Paul raised $5 million dollars earns him a look in this week's Friday Look.
Consider this: Ron Paul has more money on hand than one-time front runner John McCain, and more money on hand than the other lower tier Republican candidates combined. This means that Paul could theoretically make an effective ad buy in one or two of the early primary states and make a surprise showing. One could see Paul's libertarian anti-war message resonating in "Live Free or Die" New Hampshire, and his isolationist anti-immigrant message resonating in Iowa.
Who is Ron Paul?
The one-time 1988 Libertarian Nominee for President and 10-term Texas Congressman, Ron Paul is the quintessential anti-establishment candidate. In 1976, he endorsed Ronald Reagan against incumbent President Gerald Ford. He stands on principle, and John McCain once called him the "most honest man in Congress." He speaks a Libertarian Populism that has a romantic appeal to it.
He has forged himself an interesting set of issues stances. He has solid anti-war credentials and was one of the only Republican votes against the Iraq War authorization. He's an isolationist who criticizes U.S. membership in international organizations. He's a Constitutionalist, championing the right to life and the right to bear arms. He is a strong advocate of lower taxes, but a critic of free trade. He is vocally against illegal immigration calling "our own front door [is] unlocked." And while he doesn't talk the "social conservative talk", he walks their walk with a pro-family image with only one wife and a large, supportive family.
Ultimately his message may most strongly resonate in Middle America in areas like Kansas and the Midwest where Conservative Populism has its roots. And perhaps that is where his money is coming from.
But what is the end result of Ron Paul's candidacy? Traditionally candidates who run issue campaigns in primaries want to affect some kind of change in their party's platform. But Paul's central message is opposition to the Iraq war and isolationism, and that's not an issue that is likely to change on the Republican platform.
Paul's burgeoning candidacy shows that anti-war sentiment has crossed Party lines. His money nipping at the heels of the front runners means that there is a libertarian, pro-life, anti-war segment of the party who have thrown their support to Paul. Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney have questions about their stances on when life begins and gun owner's rights in the past. And despite being Washington outsiders, all the front runners have strong ties to the Republican establishment.
Although he doesn't crack into the top 5 in national and state polls, $5 million buys a lot of ads. By the time the primaries are over, Paul will have aired more ads than John McCain. He will be able to buy the name identification and get his message out in the early primary states.
And because he doesn't crack into the top 5 in national and state polls, his expectations are extremely low. A third place finish, ahead of one of the front runners, in one of the early states would raise eyebrows.
Don't count Congressman Ron Paul out yet.



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Dr. Paul is NOT an isolationist. Dr. Paul is non-interventionalist and a supporter of free trade. His supporters appreciate the coverage, but please revise the mis-information in your article.
Posted by: Yael | October 5, 2007 3:39 PM | Permalink to Comment