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Dec18
New National Poll

USA Today/Gallup has a new national poll:

Giuliani 27%
Huckabee 16%
McCain 14%
Thompson 14%
Romney 14%
Alan Keyes 3%

Ron Paul 3%

We're not a big fan of national polls, especially for primaries, because we think they reflect national name recognition more than the actual state of the race. To date, none of the candidates have only run ads outside of the early states.

This explains Giuliani's lead which fueled by his magnificent performance as "America's Mayor" on 9/11. Similarly, Huckabee's rise to second has more to do with the massive amounts of earned media he has been generating and mirrors his rise in the early states.


3 Comments/Trackbacks




» Ron Paul Campaign Strategy from ElephantBiz
A NY Times article today reveals an interesting gem about Ron Paul's campaign strategy. Apparently that $18+ million which has been sitting idle will be used to compete on Tsunami Tuesday.A Feb. 5 strategy, also known as a "Big State... [Read More]

» Florida Poll from ElephantBiz
First Read has a new poll from the Jan. 29 state of Florida that has Mike Huckabee within the margin of Rudy Giuliani:Giuliani 25% Huckabee 21%McCain 15%Romney 13%Thompson 10%Paul 4% The last poll from Florida was conducted Nov. 7-9 and... [Read More]

» California Poll from ElephantBiz
SurveyUSA has a poll from the Feb. 5 state of California. Giuliani 28%Huckabee 20%Romney 16%McCain 14%Thompson 13%Like with the Florida poll, this one seems to track the national trend. Rudy Guiliani is in a steady decline while Mike Huckabee is... [Read More]

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