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Jan31
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The Fix has an "internal" memo from the McCain camp: "Senator McCain is tremendously well positioned to win the nomination of our party and will be the de facto nominee of the party following the February 5th Super Tuesday elections," writes Davis. "Governor Romney has a delegate problem the media will soon figure out." McCain's strength (and Romney's weakness), according to Davis, is centered on a series of "winner take all" states where whoever wins the popular vote is awarded all of the state's delegates. Second place in these states gets a candidate no delegates. In the seven "winner take all" states set to vote next Tuesday -- New York, Missouri Arizona, New Jersey, Utah, Connecticut and Delaware -- McCain holds significant polling leads in five. No recent polling is available in Utah -- almost certainly a Romney state -- or Delaware, a likely McCain win. Add up the delegates in the five states where McCain currently leads and he nets 279 of the 327 available delegates. Romney takes 33 for winning Utah. Delaware's 15 delegates remain a toss up, according to the McCain memo. "Senator McCain's 20+ point leads in 'winner take all' states on Super Tuesday give him a tremendous advantage over Mitt Romney in the delegate race," writes Davis. In states that award delegates either proportional to the total vote or to the winners of each congressional district, McCain also is in good shape, according to Davis. In California, for example, where 170 delegates are at stake, Davis estimates that McCain will win 63 delegates to 44 for Romney, 22 for Giuliani and 19 for former governor Mike Huckabee (Ark.). In Georgia, the McCain campaign estimates that Huckabee will win the delegate fight with 21 followed by McCain at 12 and Romney at 10. All told, the memo projects that McCain will walk away with 423 of the 1009 delegates up for grabs on Super Tuesday, while Romney is currently positioned to win only 143. Another 298 delegates are included in a toss up category.
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Jan31
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Citizens United, an independent conservative group, is running ads against John McCain nationwide on FOX News:Hat tip:Marc Ambinder ...
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After spending all that money in Florida to walk away with no delegates, the AP is reporting that Mitt Romney will continue his ad campaign into the Tsunami Tuesday states: Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney plans to run a "significant"...
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With Air Force One at their backs, the four remaining Presidential candidates gathered at the Reagan Presidential library for the final debate before Tsunami Tuesday.Mike Huckabee chanelled Ronald Reagan with his upbeat optimism towards the future. Ron Paul and John...
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Jan30
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Rudy Giuliani dropped out of the race today and in the most gentlemanly manner endorsed John McCain in California. California, like two fifths of the union holds its primary less than a week from now. And tonight, at the Reagan...
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McCain adviser Mark McKinnon revealed an interesting fact on Tucker today that gave an interesting inside look of the McCain campaign: no polling.McKinnon said that they had not had an internal pollster since June when McCain's lagging campaign was forced...
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Following last night's Florida primary, here is how the current Republican delegate count stands:McCain 95Romney 72 Huckabee 29 Thompson 8 Paul 6 Giuliani 2 Hunter 1 *1,191 needed...
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Jan29
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With 54.18% of precincts reporting, John McCain has won the Florida primary:McCain 35.41% Romney 31.43% Giuliani 15.05% Huckabee 13.29% Paul 3.1% UPDATE 9:52 PM ET: MSNBC reports that Rudy Giuliani will drop out and endorse John McCain tomorrow in California. ...
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Our friends at Mike's America have organized a chat for the Florida primary. Feel free to join in!...
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The newest poll from Tennessee has Mike Huckabee leading John McCain:(n=1093, s=3.6) Huckabee 30% McCain 26% Romney 22% Paul 6% Giuliani 4% Tennessee holds an open primary on February 5th. It has 55 delegates awarded proportionally by congressional district....
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We're back for another round of pick 'em with the Florida primary tonight. Join us in live chat tonight as we watch and discuss the returns. For those of you who are keeping count, we are 2-1 on the season....
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The winner of today's Florida primary will take the delegate lead. All of Florida's 57 delegates are awarded winner take all. There are no points for second place.More importantly, however, is that the winner will recieve a boost in both...
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Ron Paul is up with a new ad in Tennessee and Arkansas:...
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Marc Ambinder has numbers from Florida:Mitt Romney's had an 8 to 1 television ad advantage in Florida... part of the reason why he's made the competitive. Heck, most of the reason he's made the race competitive has been his ads....
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First Read reports on Rudy Giuliani:The GOP candidate who’s trailing a distant third in the polls behind McCain and Romney is the person who staked everything on Florida: Rudy Giuliani. He sure seems to be acting like a guy trying...
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Rich Galen looks at the long term effects of the Clinton camp playing the race card on the Democratic Party:On Fox Saturday night, Alan Colmes asked me what I thought about the issue of race in the Democratic primary in...
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President Bush gave his seventh and final State of the Union address last night.The first part of the speech was was dedicated to the the domestic issues that have defined his Presidency: Taxes, Trade, and the Right to Life.He issued...
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Jan28
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John McCain has responded to Mitt Romney's negative robo with one of his own, narrated by a woman:“I’m calling with an urgent Mitt Romeny [unintelligible]""We care deeply about traditional values and protecting families. And we need someone who will not...
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John McCain is up with a hard hitting, brilliantly cut, web ad against Mitt Romney:...
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John McCain is up with a negative radio ad in Florida targeting Mitt Romney:ANNCR: They say Mitt Romney likes numbers. His campaign says he likes to look at data. Well here are some numbers that should scare every Florida Republican....
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The Washington Post has an article about the next big primary day after Tsunami Tuesday, Feb. 12, the day being dubbed Chesapeake Tuesday when Maryland, DC, and Virginia hold their primaries. There are 119 Republican delegates up for grabs with...
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Less than week after their candidate dropped out of the race, Tennessee Right to Life has endorsed Mike Huckabee for President citing excitement among their grassroots activists. "The beauty of a grassroots organization is that your members set the priorities,"...
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Mitt Romney was blanketing Florida with negative robo calls over the weekend hitting John McCain. Script of a call from the weekend, per Jonathan Martin:Hi, I'm calling on behalf of Mitt Romney. You can learn a lot about a candidate...
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The Washington Post has a good article today handicapping the race after Florida:Almost as soon as the Republican primary ends here Tuesday, Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) will ditch his trademark town hall meetings and begin an aerial trek from one...
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There are new polls out today (and over the weekend) from the Tsunami Tuesday states. Missouri: Huckabee 27% McCain 26% Romney 18% Giuliani 7% Paul 5% Illinois: McCain 31% Romney 20% Giuliani 13% Huckabee 11% Paul 7% California: McCain 35% Romney 27% Huckabee...
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The latest polls out of Florida show a two man race between John McCain and Mitt Romney at the top distantly followed by Rudy Giuliani:Rueters/CSPAN/Zogby:(n=818, s=3.4) McCain 33% Romney 30% Giuliani 14% Huckabee 11% Paul 2% All polls indicate that Rudy...
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Jan27
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Former Senate Majorty Leader Howard Baker is throwning his support to John McCain for President. Baker is of the old Republican gaurd having served under President Ronald Reagan as Chief of Staff and as Senate Majority Leader in the 1980's. ...
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Following on the heels of his fellow Floridian, Charlie Crist has endorsed John McCain for President: The announcement broke into the national coverage which was primarily focused on the Democratic Primary in South Carolina. The timing of the endorsements could...
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Jan26
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The junior Senator from Florida has endorsed his colleague John McCain for President citing Communism, Cuba, and Fidel Castro as one of his reasons. "John McCain has firsthand knowledge of the evils of Communism. For decades, he's led the fight for...
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Mike Huckabee is up with a new ad (on cable) in Florida highlighting his opposition to the IRS:The ad highlights Huckabee's star moment from the debate on Thursday. Although the Huckabee camp had earlier announced that they would not be...
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Jan25
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My weekly column is up at the American Chronicle. If you are interested in syndicating this column please contact me. View articles for sale here.Now that Fred Thompson has officially withdrawn his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination; we can...
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A new poll from Georgia has Mike Huckabee with a commanding lead while a new poll from Alabama has John McCain tied with the Southerner. Both states hold their primaries on February 5th.Georgia:Huckabee 34% McCain 19% Romney 16% Paul 12%...
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The Los Angeles Times has a story today examining Rudy Giuliani's questionable business background and political opportunism that is worth a read. Excerpts:The former New York mayor told reporters that his newest business venture, called Bio-ONE, would swiftly eliminate deadly...
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The New York Times endorsed John McCain for President today. Though judging from the opening statement of the editorial, it doesn't look like they will be endorsing him, or any Republican, in the general election:We have strong disagreements with all...
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The Page has the lastest national numbers:McCain 29% Huckabee 23% Romney 20% Giuliani 15% Paul 4% This poll brings very good news for Mike Huckabee heading into Tsunami Tuesday. Although he is not competitive in Florida, running 2nd nationally makes him...
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With the exception of the subtle shot that Rudy Giuliani took at John McCain when he was asking Mitt Romney a question and the pot shot that Mike Huckabee took at Romney over his plutocratic tendencies; the debate was relatively...
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Jan24
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Tonight will mark the first Republican debate with only five candidates (excluding that farce where FOX News excluded Ron Paul) on an increasingly shrinking stage.Mike Huckabee went jogging this morning to prepare for the debate, while John McCain was holding...
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Another Florida poll in as many days now has Mitt Romney and John McCain leading the field by a substantial margin:Jan. 23-24 (n=400, s=5) Romney 30%McCain 26% Giuliani 18% Huckabee 13% Paul 3% ...
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The Wall Street Journal has a must read piece today about Mitt Romney spending his personal wealth to keep himself in the race for the Republican nomination. Some excerpts:A senior aide to Mr. Romney says the millionaire investor plans to spend...
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Hat tip:Jonathan Martin ...
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Jan23
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What was a four-man race, and then a three-man race; is now a two-man race. The St. Petersburg Times is out with a new Florida poll conducted Jan. 20-22: McCain 25% Romney 23% Giuliani 15% Huckabee 15% Undecided 13% Thompson was...
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As the curtain falls on the Thompson presidential campaign, Tennessee newspapers today are rife with speculation and analysis.From the Tennessean:While Thompson's campaign was not successful, he could have an impact on who receives the nomination. Thompson could encourage his social...
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Louisiana held a caucus last night and I've been trying to make sense of it all morning. There are conflicting reports that Ron Paul actually won it. NRO reported John McCain won it; only to take that back and say...
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A new poll from New Jersey has John McCain leading Rudy Giuliani:(n=398, s=4.9) McCain 29% Giuliani 26% Romney 14% Giuliani's once "momentum proof" lead has evaporated in New Jersey just like in New York and Connecticut. The pressure for a victory...
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A new Rasmussen poll of Florida taken the day after the South Carolina primary has Mitt Romney leading John McCain:(n=754, s=4) Romney 25% McCain 20% Giuliani 19% Huckabee 13% Thompson 12% Meanwhile, a SurveyUSA poll taken the same day has McCain...
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John McCain is up with a new ad that is airing statewide in Florida: ...
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Jonathan Martin has an update on the Huckabee's campaign strategy moving forward:They're scaling back any attempt to take Florida. Rollins said going on broadcast TV was unlikely because of the cost. And the candidate will duck out of the state between...
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Jan22
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...the Supreme Court determined that the unborn counted as less than a full person and therefore had no rights. Since Jan. 22, 1973 more than 48 million Americans have been aborted; and today one in four pregnancies end in abortion....
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Norma McCorvey, better known as Jane Roe and now a right to life activist, has endorsed Ron Paul for President today. McCorvey is the woman who initially challenged a Texas statute against abortion that eventually resulted in the Supreme Court...
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MSNBC is reporting that Fred Thompson has dropped his bid for the Presidency of the United States:"Today I have withdrawn my candidacy for President of the United States," Thompson said. "I hope that my country and my party have benefited...
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Trust Huckabee has made its way to the Sunshine State with the negative calls that made it famous:Patrick Davis said "Trust Huckabee" blasted out robo-calls dinging McCain, Romney and Rudy on the same issues they've keyed on in previous states:...
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The New York Times has a pretty thorough piece about Rudy Giuliani's time as Mayor of the city that never sleeps. The full thing is worth a read. Some excerpts: In August 1997, James Schillaci, a rough-hewn chauffeur from the...
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Jonathan Martin is reporting that Mike Huckabee looks like he will be moving past the Sunshine State and on to February 5th:Huckabee, too, is getting cold feet about both the cost and challenge of Florida. He made plain to the...
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Jan21
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"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere." -Rev. Martin Luther King, Jr. Today is Martin Luther King Day, and all across the country people are marching and holding rallies to commemorate a great American. It is only fitting that...
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Hat tip:David Bowie ...
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The Huckabee camp, via one of their better known surrogates, raised questions about John McCain's age at the Chuck 4 Huck BBQ over the weekend:...
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First Read has two new polls from the Northeast that signal trouble on the horizon for Rudy Giuliani:New York:McCain 36% Giuliani 24% Romney 10% Huckabee 7%Connecticut: McCain 39% Giuliani 16% Romney 11%...
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Continuing with the Florida ad barage, Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani are both up with a new ads in Spanish today slated for South Florida.Romney: Giuliani:...
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"In Greenville, they ask you where do you go to church? In Columbia, they ask you what do you do for a living? In Charleston, they ask you what'll you have to drink?"Electoral Map's Primary Map of South Carolina tells...
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Here is how the current Republican delegate count stands:Romney 72 McCain 38 Huckabee 29 Thompson 8 Paul 6 Giuliani 2 Hunter 1 *1,191 needed ...
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Ron Paul finished second to Mitt Romney in the Nevada Caucus over the weekend. Today he is campaigning in Louisiana a state that holds its caucus tomorrow.Ron Paul has now beaten every Republican candidate except Romney in at least one...
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Per Jonathan Martin, John McCain is going up with an old ad in a new market:The ad is the beginning of a purported million dollar ad buy in Florida by the McCain camp. Can anyone say momentum? ...
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Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton both campaigned at churches over the weekend. that are continuing to blur the lines between church and state. Obama spoke at the home church of Martin Luther King, Jr. in Atlanta. Clinton, meanwhile, traveled to...
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Jan20
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Duncan Hunter dropped out of the race yesterday following the results of the Nevada Caucus....
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Jan19
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The Palmetto Scoop has called the South Carolina primary for John McCain:John McCain - 33%Mike Huckabee - 30%Fred Thompson - 16%Mitt Romney - 15%Ron Paul - 4%Rudy Giuliani- 2% ...
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Our friends at Mike's America, SC have organized a primary chat from the Palmetto State. Feel free to join in!...
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The AP is reporting that Mitt Romney has won the Nevada Caucus. With 37.78% of precincts reporting:Romney 56.23% McCain 12.26% Paul 11.85% Huckabee 7.52% Thompson 7.33% Giuliani 3.75% ...
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We're back for another round of pick 'em. We were a little off the mark last time, but that has never kept a good pundit down. Post your predictions here... ...
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American Research Group has the last poll of South Carolina heading into the returns tonight: South Carolina Likely Republican Primary Voters (n=600, s=4) Jan 15-16 Jan 17-18 Giuliani 4% 3% Huckabee 23% 33% Hunter 1% 1% Keyes 2%...
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Jan18
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The successes of Mike Huckabee and Hillary Clinton in their respective primaries raises a question that is the subject of this week’s Friday Look: What is it about Arkansas?
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Rudy Giuliani is up with yet another image ad in Florida:Giuliani appears to be dumping the vast majority of his cash on hand in Florida. He has launched three new television ads in consecutive days. He has also spent many...
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First Read has a report on the ad blitz in South Carolina:Twenty-six political spots -- of 75 total ads by our count -- ran during the early evening local news broadcasts from 5:00 pm to 6:30 pm and from 7:00...
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John McCain is up with a new Web ad highlighting his military/POW experience: ...
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Jan17
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The latest MSNBC poll of South Carolina shows a dogfight for the top spot between John McCain and Mike Huckabee:(Jan. 14-16) n=400 MoE:5% McCain 27% Huckabee 25% Romney 15% Thompson 13% Paul 6% Giuliani 5% Some other interesting points parsed from the...
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The Huckabee camp has put out a pretty impressive research piece linking Club for Growt.net, the group that has been running negative ads against Mike Huckabee, and Mitt Romney's financial backers:The Club for Growth has an affiliated 527 group, Club...
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Fred Thompson is going up with his 'Consistent Conservative' ad in all South Carolina markets:This is the same ad his campaign used to launch their paid media campaign in Iowa. Unforunately, in Iowa they were forced to go off the...
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Hat tip:Jonathan Martin ...
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Mitt Romney is up with a new ad in Florida: The ad reflects Romney's new message of change and against Washington that started following his loss in Iowa. The 'Washington is Broken' is a veiled shot at McCain. However, it...
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The Huckabee camp is making moves that look like he intends to stay in the race until Tsunami Tuesday. The campaign has set a fundraising goal of $10 million by February 5th and has put together (with what appears to...
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Jan16
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Tom Coburn endorsed John McCain in South Carolina today:“I am very proud to endorse my friend and colleague Senator John McCain for President of the United States,” Coburn said. “John McCain and I have stood side-by-side on many issues, and...
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First Read has a report from Karl Rove's remarks to the National Republican Committee today:Rove said [Democrats and Republicans] differ on important issues such as their positions on taxes, national security and health care, going as far as saying the...
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Following on the lead of the Huckabee camp once again, the Palmetto Scoop has reports of negative calls from Trust Huckabee:The first question was: “Do you support President Bush?” I answered yes and the call ended. A neighbor got a...
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Between the South Carolina debate where Thompson beat Huckabee and Thompson's bus tour; Thompson was making real gains in the state at the expense of Huckabee. After the poor debate performance, the response by the Huckabee camp was to play...
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John McCain is launching his "Tied Up" television ad in South Carolina:...
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Cogitamus has an electoral return map that shows that Huckabee's strategy worked, sort of:Romney's keys to victory were that (a) his half had more people, and (b) he won it by a larger margin. The most pro-Romney counties were actually...
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Rudy Giuliani is up with a new ad in Florida. Expect ad saturation of the state to commence soon. In the wake of Mitt Romney's victory in Michigan, Giuliani's big state strategy is starting to look like the right play....
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The Ron Paul blimp is in the air again and generating some impressive earned media: Live Feed...
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Here is how the current Republican delegate count stands*:Romney 43 Huckabee 26 McCain 20 Thompson 6 Paul 2 Giuliani 1 Hunter 1 *1,191 needed ...
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Jan15
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Mitt Romney has won the Michigan primary: With this victory, Romney will continue to deem himself relevant and forge on with his self-funded effort. The next stop for Romney will likely be Florida; and he has bought himself a ticket...
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A new poll of Florida has John McCain leading followed very closely by the field:McCain 22% Giuliani 20% Huckabee 19% Romney 19% Thompson 7% Paul 5% Giuliani's relative strength in this poll is impressive despite the national stories counting him out...
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A new poll from the February 5th state of California has John McCain leading the field among likley voters:McCain 20% Romney 16% Giuliani 14% Huckabee 13% Paul 8% Thompson 6% It's hard to say how much a California poll is worth...
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John McCain is up with a new ad in South Carolina: ...
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Dr. Alveda King, the niece of Martin Luther King, Jr., talks about the modern day Civil Rights movement:Related:Letter from Birmingham Jail I Have a Dream ...
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Jan14
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Bobby Jindal was sworn in as the 55th Governor of Louisiana today. He is 36 years old and the youngest currently serving Governor in the country. What is more impressive is his meteroric rise. He started out as a...
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The Clinton camp indirectly plays the race card today when one of their surrogates started talking about Obama's past. Congressman Bob Johnson's comments got the national media and punditry talking about race. The Clinton camp won this news cycle....
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Fred Thompson is up with a new ad in South Carolina that makes a direct appeal for the viewer's vote:The ad makes a direct appeal to the traditional Republican establishment voters. The establishment finds itself faced with the very real...
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The Palmetto Scoop has the latest South Carolina poll:John McCain - 28%Mike Huckabee - 19%Mitt Romney - 17%Fred Thompson - 16%Ron Paul - 5%Rudy Giuliani - 5%More important than John McCain's continued post-New Hampshire bump is Fred Thompson gaining support...
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The Fred Thompson bus tour continued in South Carolina this weekend: Click To Play ...
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Trust Huckabee, following on the lead of the Huckabee camp, is bring their push polling campaign against Mitt Romney into Michigan. Per Jonathan Martin: Similar to the calls the group made in Iowa and New Hampshire, voice recognition data is...
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Mike Huckabee took to the pulpit this past weekend in South Carolina delivering a sermon about humility, how being good isn't enough to get you into heaven, and trusting Jesus. Per the Boston Globe:"The criteria to get into heaven...
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Newsweek looks at historical South Carolina while Time looks at current South Carolina. Time excerpts:By tradition, the nastiest onslaughts in South Carolina come from independent or anonymous third-parties, which can be run by supporters of rival candidates. Late last week,...
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The New York Times has an interesting profile of some of Huckabee's success. Some excerpts:Much of the national leadership of the Christian conservative movement has turned a cold shoulder to the Republican presidential campaign of Mike Huckabee, wary of his...
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Per Jonathan Martin, Mike Huckabee is up in Michigan with the ad that he used to court social and Christian conservatives in Iowa:This paid media will reach the voters in the remote and rural areas of Michigan so that he...
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Jan13
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A Detroit Free Press poll out today puts Mitt Romney in the lead in Michigan followed closely by John McCain:Romney 27% McCain 22% Huckabee 16% Uncommitted 16% Not Sure 6% ...
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The State, the widest circulating newspaper in South Carolina, endorsed John McCain for President today:Clearly, the best Republican candidate to lead our nation at this time is U.S. Sen. John McCain of Arizona. He has the necessary experience, not just...
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Jan12
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With Mike Huckabee, John McCain, and Mitt Romney all spending their Saturday in Michigan, a new poll has McCain leading Romney in the state:McCain 23% Romney 17% Huckabee 11% Paul 8% Giuliani 8%Jonathan Martin also reports that the ad war...
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A new CNN poll taken since the New Hampshire primary registers a huge bump for John McCain:McCain 34% Huckabee 21% Giuliani 18%Romney 14% Thompson 6% Paul 5% ...
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Jan11
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My weekly column is up at the American Chronicle. If you are interested in syndicating this column please contact me.Conventional wisdom told us that February 5th, also known as National Primary Day or Tsunami Tuesday, would give us the nominee....
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Jonathan Martin is repoting today that top Rudy Giuliani staffers are foregoing their paychecks for the month of January. Earlier this week Mitt Romney's camp announced he was pulling his South Carolin and Florida ad buys. On the other side...
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There's more cheating in sports. The AP is reporting that Marion Jones, the former 5-time Olympic medalist, is going to jail. She recieved six months, the maximum sentence possible under the plea. She had previously told federal investigators that she...
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John McCain is up with a new ad in Michigan that is similar to the ad that sparked his campaign in New Hampshire: ...
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Human Events, a respected national conservative publication, has endorsed Fred Thompson for President and the full endorsement is worth a read. Some excerpts:We begin by recalling the profound words of Ronald Reagan at the Conservative Political Action Conference Feb. 15,...
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Pundit Chick has a brilliant debate parody:Moderator: Hello, and welcome to the Republican Debate. My first question goes to former Mayor Giuliani. Some in your party worry about your pro-choice position and what kind of judges you would appoint to...
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First off, I have to take Ron Paul to task on his anti-market/anti-Fed rhetoric. For those of you who didn't understand/missed what he was saying, he basically said that recessions and expansions in the economy (business cycles) are due to...
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Jan10
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Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council and Pat Toomey of Club for Growth, two very conservative men, appeared on Hardball and had a very interesting debate over the future of the Republican Party....
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Mike Huckabee completed his round of late night talk shows appearing on the Colbert Report last night: Colbert, whose hopes and dreams of becoming President were dashed by South Carolina Democrats, was offered the Vice Presidential spot (again) by Huckabee....
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The Thompson bus tour rolled into the South Carolina GOP's fundraiser last night in Myrtle Beach, the site of tonight's debate. Click To Play Thompson has been getting some good local earned media on his bus tour through South Carolina where,...
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CNN reports from Iraq: In the Sunni Arab-dominated provinces north and west of Baghdad and in the capital itself, local leaders have been cooperating with U.S. troops against the Islamic jihadists blamed for the worst attacks on civilians. The massive...
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John McCain and Joe Lieberman have co-authored an op-ed about Iraq that appears in the Wall Street Journal this morning:The Surge Worked by John McCain and Joe Lieberman It was exactly one year ago tonight, in a televised address to the...
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Rasmussen is out with a new post-New Hampshire poll that shows a significant bump for John McCain who is now leading the state followed closely by Mike Huckabee: John McCain - 27% Mike Huckabee - 24% Mitt Romney - 16%...
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Rudy Giuliani is up with a new ad up in Florida that goes negative on the pundits: ...
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Jan 9
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I was looking through the Democratic exit polls and John Edwards' numbers jumped out at me. Edwards, the man who spoke early and often of "Two Americas" and was the face (literally, no one can figure out exactly what...
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A new post-Iowa, pre-New Hampshire poll from Michigan has Mike Huckabee leading Mitt Romney:Huckabee 23% Romney 22% McCain 18% Giuliani 8% Thompson 4% Paul 3% Expect the results from last night to influence the next poll....
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Per the AP, Mitt Romney is pulling his advertising in South Carolina and Florida in favor of Michigan. More from the story: Romney had been spending about $280,000 per week in South Carolina and spent $3 million there last year,...
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Mike Huckabee is airing his first ad in Michigan: The race in Michigan between Huckabee, John McCain and Mitt Romney is tight, and this ad could deliver the knock out blow to Romney....
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Jan 8
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With 12% of precints reporting, MSNBC has called the race for John McCain. Current totals: McCain 37% Romney 28% Huckabee 12% Bad news for Mitt Romney. Join us in live chat!UPDATE 7:14 AM:Final Tally:McCain 37.19% Romney 31.62% Huckabee 11.16% Giuliani 8.59%...
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Mike's America has organized a chat for the primary, everyone is welcome to join in!...
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The Fix has another prediction contest today featuring picks from Democratic and Republican political operatives. Since we had so much fun with it last time, here are our picks for tonight: Alan Keyes......
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Real Clear Politics has an average of the last New Hampshire polls (before October, at least):McCain 31.8% Romney 28.2% Huckabee 12.2% Giuliani 9.3% Paul 8.2% Politico reports record turnout in New Hampshire. Stay tuned......
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While the rest of the field is New Hampshire today for the primary; Fred Thompson is in South Carolina: Click To Play The Iowa bus tour was a relative success with Thompson finishing in third place in the Caucus and generating...
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Unlike in Iowa where the entire state voted simultaneously, the New Hampshire primary is a traditional election with the voting going on all day and the candidates campaigning at as many polling places that they can get a camera to...
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Last week, Mike Huckabee appeared on Leno last week and won the Iowa Caucus. Last night, he appeared on David Letterman hoping for similar results in New Hampshire today:Letterman and Leno have the vast majority of the late night viewing...
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Part One:Part Two: The crowd seemed to be politically attuned and to really like Paul. And then the Paul camp gave away their secret....
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Tomorrow the focus of the race shifts to South Carolina, so here are some numbers in anticipation:Huckabee 28%McCain 21%Romney 15%Thompson 11%Giuliani 10% Paul 4%Hat tip:Palmetto Scoop ...
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Jan 7
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The LSU Tigers beat the Ohio State Buckeyes tonight to win the BCS National Championship. It was their second in five years and proved once again that the SEC is the best conference in college football.The Superdome, home of the...
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A new Gallup poll registers a bump for Mike Huckabee following the Iowa Caucus: Huckabee 25% Giuliani 20% McCain 19% Thompson 12% Romney 9% Paul 4% But where's the money? Despite the win, Huckabee's money seems to be slow in...
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Per First Read:Clinton stopped outside a bakery, offered some remarks, and took questions. As he was answering one on Iraq, one of the Paul backers interrupted and shouted that the Sept. 11 attacks were an inside job, and that...
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The Palmetto Scoop points to a great video of "Romney supporters" in New Hampshire:However, it's highly unlikely that these are real Romney supporters as the video leads you to believe. Any experienced sign "replacer" would know that you don't want...
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Bill Kristol writes a column in the NYT today that examines the prospects of Mike Huckabee as the Republican nominee: For me, therefore, the most interesting moment in Saturday night’s Republican debate at St. Anselm College was when the candidates...
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Mitt Romney will air a two minute ad tonight in the New Hampshire and Boston markets:This could very well be tagged as "Romney's last charge," because if this doesn't work and he does end up losing New Hampshire, it's hard...
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The new Marist poll conducted after Saturday's debate in New Hampshire now has John McCain a top Mitt Romney:McCain 35% Romney 31% Huckabee 13% Paul 8% Giuliani 5% Thompson 4%Ron Paul is also in a good position leading both Rudy...
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With its 14 delegates up for stake this past Saturday, Mitt Romney won the Wyoming Caucus:Romney: 8 delegates Thompson: 3 delegates Hunter: 1 delegates (Last 2 delegates chosen at statewide convention in May.)The biggest news from this is that Duncan Hunter...
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Jan 6
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While it is difficult to choose a clear winner from last night's debate in New Hampshire, there was one clear loser: Mitt Romney. As Huckabee adviser Ed Rollins said before the debate that about summed up what happened: "Nobody likes...
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Jan 5
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Holding true to the conventional wisdom about New Hampshire, a post Iowa Caucus poll has Mitt Romney leading John McCain with no apparent bump for Caucus winner Mike Huckabee:Romney 30% McCain 26% Huckabee 11% Giuliani 11% Paul 8% Thompson 2% ...
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Jan 4
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My weekly column is up at the American Chronicle. If you are interested in syndicating this column please contact me.The Iowa Caucus has had an opposite effect than in previous years. Instead of winnowing the field, it has blown the...
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Ron Paul is up with a new ad in New Hampshire set to run through the primary that highlights his military experience and support from the military:GraniteProf reports that Paul has a $270,000 ad buy in New Hampshire. Although the...
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Per Jonathan Martin, Mitt Romney is dropping a negative mail piece before the debates in New Hampshire this weekend that hits his rivals on illegal immigration:...
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Rudy Giuliani has been bullish on his big state strategy that begins with Florida and ends on February 5th. Last night, in every interview he did he congratulated Mike Huckabee on his victory in Iowa, and then proceeded to sell...
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Jan 3
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With 15% of precints reporting, FOX News Channel has just called the Iowa Caucuses for Mike Huckabee.Current results:Huckabee 36% Romney 23% Thompson 14% Paul 11% Giuliani 3% Join us in the live chat. UPDATE 10:37 PM Final tally:Huckabee 34% Romney 25% Thompson...
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Our friends at the Palmetto Scoop have put together a live chat to watch the Caucuses. Feel free to join in!...
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The Fix has a contest for readers to submit their predictions for the top three finishers and the storyline coming out of the caucus tonight. He's got predictions from some of the top Democratic and Republican operatives as well as...
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John McCain is up with a pair of new ads; the first one cut for New Hampshire and the second for Michigan."Better Prepared":"American Reformer":...
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Darrel Ng reports from the Thompson bus tour in Iowa: Click To Play...
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Zogby has what will be the final Iowa poll (until about October at least), conducted 12/29-1/1:Huckabee 29% Romney 25% McCain 12% Thompson 12% Paul 9% Giuliani 7% And democracy is good for the economy. First Read has totals on how much...
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Mitt Romney is up with a new ad attacking John McCain in New Hampshire:It is reminiscent of another New Hampshire attack ad against the now-Chairman of the DNC:...
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Today is the day that has been more than a year in the making. For some candidates like John Edwards, it has been four years in the making. For some candidates like John McCain, it has been eight years in...
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In Jay Leno's much anticipated return since the writer's strike shut down Los Angeles a couple months ago, Mike Huckabee appeared on the Tonight Show last night:Part One: Part Two:...
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A regular reader points to an update on earlier reports that Fred Thompson may drop out:GOP presidential hopeful Fred Thompson said in an in-studio interview with KCCI-TV in Des Moines that there is no truth to rumors that his campaign...
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The Politico is reporting that Fred Thompson may end his Presidenitial campaign and throw his support to his friend John McCain if he has a poor showing in tonight's Iowa caucus: “Without a solid third-place finish, there’s no point in...
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Jan 2
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The Giuliani camp released (via surrogates) today that following the New Hampshire primary on Jan. 8, Rudy Giuliani will essentially be taking up residence in Florida until the primary on Jan. 29. He will occasionally take day trips to other...
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A new Pew Research poll has John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, and Mike Huckabee statistically tied:McCain 22% Giuliani 20% Huckabee 17% Romney 12% Thompson 9% The poll also seperates out the numbers from Florida, Maine (2/2) and all the Tsunami Tuesday states....
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A new poll from the Feb. 5 state of Montana has Mike Huckabee leading followed closely by his rivals:Huckabee 16% Giuliani 15% Romney 13% Thompson 12%These numbers clearly reflect the fact that the Presidential campaigns haven't made it to the...
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John McCain is out with a second web ad today that takes an even more direct shot at Mitt Romney:Not to be out done, Romney put out his own web ad today targeting McCain:The McCain-Romney showdown has evolved from the...
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In Daytona Beach, Florida they are expecting a record breaking temperature of 98 degrees 27 degrees tonight. 1979 currently holds the lowest temperature on record for that area of the country at 28 degrees. In Minnesota, it was apparently warm...
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A new University of New Hampshire poll out today has Mitt Romney and John McCain tied: Romney 29% McCain 29% Giuliani 12% Huckabee 10% Paul 7%Not surprisingly, McCain leads among independents (New Hampshire has an open primary) while Romney leads...
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Darrel Ng reports from the Thompson bus tour in Iowa: Click To Play ...
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Ron Paul's camp has released its 4th quarter fundraising numbers, and they are, to say the least, impressive. He had 130,000 donors who gave an average of $90 for a total of $19.5 million. They, however, did not include how...
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Mike Huckabee's decision to turn the other cheek apparently cost his campaign roughly $150,000. To put that into perspective, he could have hired 75 campaign staffers through February 5th or put up ~1000 points of television advertising in an Iowa...
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Jan 1
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Hat tip: Jonathan Martin...
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John McCain is out with a new made for New Media ad aimed at Mitt Romney: And LBJ is up with a similar ad aimed at Barry Goldwater (circa 1964):...
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Mitt Romney is up with a new ad in Michigan proving once again that he will say anything to get elected: ...
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Volunteer Voters has the negative ad that almost was from Mike Huckabee: SCRIPT:HUCKABEE: I'm Mike Huckabee and I approved this spot because Iowans have the right to know the truth about Mitt Romney's dishonest attacks on me and even an...
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A new Suffolk University poll has John McCain leading in New Hampshire and makes it now clear why Mitt Romney decided to go negative on him last week. Per First Read:McCain 31% Romney 25% Giuliani 14% Huckabee 9% And...
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If there was ever any question as to how diverse the Republican Party is, this campaign season has answered it. The reason there are so many viable candidates in the Republican presidential primary this year is because each candidate hails from a different part of the Republican base. That Republican diversity earns a special New Year’s Look.
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