A new Pew Research poll has John McCain, Rudy Giuliani, and Mike Huckabee statistically tied:
McCain 22%
Giuliani 20%
Huckabee 17%
Romney 12%
Thompson 9%
The poll also seperates out the numbers from Florida, Maine (2/2) and all the Tsunami Tuesday states. However the sample is extremely small (n=245) meaning it has a large standard deviation:
McCain 21%
Giuliani 21%
Huckabee 16%
Romney 14%
Thompson 8%
While national polls are generally worthless for a primary that is fought on a state by state basis, it does reflect the undecided nature of the Republican primary electorate.
The tracking trend is the more interesting part parsed from the poll. It clearly shows Giuliani's steady decline and Huckabee's rise as well as Thompson's announcement and then subsequent decline.
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» A Kink in Giuliani's Strategy: Early Voting from ElephantBiz
Rudy Giuliani has been bullish on his big state strategy that begins with Florida and ends on February 5th. Last night, in every interview he did he congratulated Mike Huckabee on his victory in Iowa, and then proceeded to sell... [Read More]
Tracked on: January 4, 2008 11:43 AM | Permalink to Trackback